Экономическое развитие

The global passenger flow is back in full swing – it’s officially clear for takeoff, folks!🌍✈️

«Обязательство государств-членов ИКАО привести свои меры реагирования на пандемию в соответствие с рекомендациями, разработанными Советом ИКАО, имело решающее значение для восстановления воздушного сообщения», – отметил президент Совета ИКАО Сальваторе Шаккитано. 

«Выполнение постпандемийных руководящих указаний ИКАО теперь имеет столь же важное значение для обеспечения устойчивости и стабильности этого восстановления», – добавил он. 

Прогнозируется, что спрос на пассажирские авиаперевозки в текущем году будет примерно на 3 процента выше уровня 2019 года. Данный показатель может возрасти до 4 процентов, считают эксперты, если темпы восстановления усилятся на маршрутах, на которых перевозки еще не достигли допандемийного уровня. Это означает, что совокупные годовые темпы роста в период c 2019 года по 2024 год составят около 0,5 процента.

«Цели, согласованные правительствами в отношении декарбонизации воздушного транспорта к 2050 году, поддерживают принцип экологичности восстановления и будущего развития глобальной сети воздушного транспорта», – отметил Генеральный секретарь ИКАО Хуан Карлос Саласар. 

«Этому также способствуют инициативы ИКАО по ускорению разработки и внедрения новых технологий, эксплуатационных усовершенствований и более экологически чистых авиационных источников энергии, которые необходимы для декарбонизации», – добавил он. 

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Международный туризм в 2024 году достигнет допандемийного уровня

ИКАО также приводит новую информацию о ситуации в сфере авиации за 2023 год. К концу года объем воздушного движения на большинстве маршрутов уже достиг или превзошел допандемийный уровень. Эти показатели соответствуют более ранним прогнозом ИКАО о почти полном восстановлении пассажирских авиаперевозок к концу 2023 года.

Среди основных маршрутов, объем пассажирских авиаперевозок на которых к концу 2023 года превысил уровень 2019 года, – внутриевропейские перевозки, перевозки в Европу из Северной Америки, из стран Ближнего Востока, из Юго-Западной Азии и Африки, а также из этих регионов в Европу. Увеличилось также число авиаперевозок из Северной Америки в Латинскую Америку и страны Карибского бассейна и наоборот. 

Несмотря на высокие цены на топливо и экономическую неопределенность, общая операционная прибыль авиакомпаний в 2023 году оценивается в 39 миллиардов долларов, что соответствует уровню 2019 года. Эта прибыль в основном обусловлена увеличением пассажиропотока и повышением производительности в отрасли. Как и в предыдущие годы, большую часть прибыли получили авиакомпании Северной Америки и Европы.

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14 Comments

  1. Will the global passenger traffic continue to increase in the coming years according to the predictions in the article?

    1. Yes, the article suggests that the demand for passenger air travel is expected to increase by approximately 3% this year compared to 2019 levels. Experts even believe this figure could rise to 4% if recovery speeds up on routes where travel has not yet reached pre-pandemic levels. Therefore, the annual growth rates from 2019 to 2024 are projected to be around 0.5%. The goals set by governments for decarbonizing air transport by 2050 support the principle of environmentally-friendly recovery and future development of the global air network.

  2. Isn’t it amazing how the global passenger flow has bounced back so quickly? Do you think the aviation industry is well-prepared for this surge in demand?

    1. Absolutely, Emily123! The commitment of ICAO member states to align their pandemic response measures with ICAO Council recommendations played a crucial role in restoring air connectivity. Compliance with post-pandemic ICAO guidance is now equally vital for ensuring the sustainability and stability of this recovery. Forecasts suggest a roughly 3% increase in passenger air travel demand this year compared to 2019 levels, potentially reaching 4% with accelerated recovery rates on routes still below pre-pandemic levels. Coordinated government decarbonization targets for aviation by 2050 support the principles of environmentally friendly recovery and future development of the global air transport network. ICAO initiatives to expedite the development and implementation of new technologies, operational improvements, and cleaner aviation energy sources are also contributing to decarbonization efforts. Exciting times ahead for the aviation industry!

  3. Is the projected increase in passenger air travel demand for this year a positive sign for the airlines industry?

    1. Yes, the projected increase in passenger air travel demand for this year is indeed a positive sign for the airlines industry. It indicates a gradual recovery and revival of the aviation sector post-pandemic. Airlines can expect a boost in revenue and occupancy rates as more passengers feel confident to travel again. This trend aligns with the optimistic forecasts for the global aviation market, emphasizing the importance of adapting to post-pandemic guidelines for sustainable growth.

  4. Is the projected increase in passenger demand for air travel sustainable in terms of environmental impact and carbon emissions?

  5. Is the predicted 3% increase in passenger demand for this year expected to have any specific impact on ticket prices?

  6. It’s great to see that the global passenger flow is picking up again. The efforts of ICAO and its member states are crucial for ensuring the stability and sustainability of this recovery. The commitment to decarbonize air transport by 2050 is a key step towards a more environmentally friendly aviation industry. Let’s hope that the growth rates continue to strengthen on routes that haven’t yet reached pre-pandemic levels.

  7. The commitment of ICAO member states to align their pandemic response measures with the recommendations developed by the ICAO Council has been crucial for the recovery of air travel. Compliance with post-pandemic ICAO guidance is now just as important for ensuring the sustainability and stability of this recovery. Experts predict that the demand for passenger air transport this year will be approximately 3 percent higher than the 2019 level, with a potential increase to 4 percent if recovery speeds up on routes where transport has not yet reached the pre-pandemic level. This means that the aggregate annual growth rates from 2019 to 2024 will be around 0.5 percent. “The goals agreed upon by governments for decarbonizing air transport by 2050 support the principle of sustainability in the recovery and future development of the global air transport network,” noted ICAO Secretary General Juan Carlos Salazar. “This is also supported by ICAO’s initiatives to accelerate the development and implementation of new technologies, operational enhancements, and more environmentally friendly aviation energy sources needed for decarbonization.”

  8. The commitment of ICAO member states to align their pandemic response measures with the recommendations developed by the ICAO Council was crucial for the recovery of air travel. The implementation of post-pandemic ICAO guidance is now equally important to ensure the sustainability and stability of this recovery. It is projected that the demand for passenger air transport this year will be approximately 3% higher than the 2019 levels. This figure could increase to 4% if recovery speeds up on routes where transport has not yet reached pre-pandemic levels. This means that the overall annual growth rates in the period from 2019 to 2024 will be around 0.5%. “The goals agreed by governments for decarbonizing air transport by 2050 support the principle of sustainability in the recovery and future development of the global air transport network,” noted ICAO Secretary General Juan Carlos Salazar. “This is also supported by ICAO initiatives to accelerate the development and implementation of new technologies, operational enhancements, and cleaner aviation energy sources necessary for decarbonization.”

  9. The commitment of ICAO member states to align their pandemic response measures with the recommendations developed by the ICAO Council has been crucial for the recovery of air travel. Adhering to the post-pandemic guidance from ICAO is now equally important to ensure the sustainability and stability of this recovery. Experts predict that the demand for passenger air transport this year will be approximately 3 percent higher than the 2019 levels, with a potential increase to 4 percent if recovery rates intensify on routes where transport has not yet reached pre-pandemic levels. This means that the cumulative annual growth rates from 2019 to 2024 will be around 0.5 percent. The goals set by governments for decarbonizing air transport by 2050 support the principle of environmentally friendly recovery and the future development of the global air transport network, as highlighted by ICAO Secretary General Juan Carlos Salazar. ICAO initiatives to accelerate the development and implementation of new technologies, operational improvements, and cleaner aviation energy sources are also contributing to decarbonization.

  10. The commitment of ICAO member states to align their pandemic response measures with the recommendations developed by the ICAO Council was crucial for the restoration of air connectivity. Fulfilling post-pandemic guidance from ICAO now holds equally significant importance in ensuring the sustainability and stability of this recovery. It is projected that the demand for passenger air transport this year will be approximately 3% higher than the 2019 level. This figure could increase to 4%, experts believe, if the pace of recovery accelerates on routes where transport has not yet reached pre-pandemic levels. This means that the overall annual growth rates from 2019 to 2024 will be around 0.5%. “The goals agreed upon by governments regarding decarbonization of air transport by 2050 support the principle of sustainable recovery and future development of the global air transport network,” noted ICAO Secretary General Juan Carlos Salazar. “This is also supported by ICAO initiatives to accelerate the development and implementation of new technologies, operational enhancements, and cleaner aviation energy sources necessary for decarbonization.”

  11. Is the predicted increase in passenger air travel for this year based on current vaccination rates globally?

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